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Iraq, Turkey Extend Pipeline Deal to Sustain Oil Exports

On July 9, 2026, Turkey and Iraq moved to extend their crude oil pipeline transit agreement for 12 months, averting a July 27 expiration that threatened a key export route to Ceyhan. This follows Iraq’s prime minister reaffirming the country’s commitment to OPEC while seeking a fairer production quota, after June reports of possible exit considerations. The developments reduce near-term supply risks for Iraqi crude, which accounts for 90% of government revenue, though broader capacity constraints remain. Market impact centers on stabilized export flows rather than immediate price shifts.